Tropical Storm Melissa Gains Power As It Moves In the Direction of the Island Nation
Tropical Storm the storm is predicted to escalate to a infrequent Category 5 cyclone as it shifts toward Jamaica, bringing dangerous flash flooding and mudslides.
The hurricane, which registered winds of up to 195 km/h as of 0600 Greenwich Mean Time, is now shifting north-west in the Caribbean region and is expected to reach land by early next week, based on data from weather experts.
Warnings of electricity outages and damage to infrastructure have been released as this storm produces up to 30 inches of precipitation and coastal flooding as high as 4m above normal levels. "Seek shelter now," inhabitants have been told.
This hurricane is the thirteenth storm in the current Atlantic hurricane season, which usually concludes in November.
Category Five Cyclone Risk
A highest-level storm is the most intense classification, with wind speeds of at least 252 km/h.
While the hurricane is projected to weaken to a category four cyclone before reaching the island, authorities said there was "minimal real distinction in the general consequences" upon landfall, and that the hurricane will be "at least that intensity" when it strikes the nation.
Immediate Readiness Measures
With tropical storm-strength winds and rain already expected well before it moves across the island's interior - perhaps encompassing the capital, Kingston - alerts state that "preparations should be rushed to completion".
"A multi-day period of damaging winds and intense precipitation has started and will cause devastating and dangerous rapid water accumulation and many mudslides," advised weather authorities.
The country's head of government the statesman commented: "I realize that there are countless citizens who are concerned, who are very concerned, and rightfully so: concern is justified.
"However the best way to address anxiety and any unease and anxiety is to be prepared."
Locals are being advised to fortify their houses with protective bags and timber panels, and to accumulate basic necessities.
Wider Impact
Alerts are also active for parts of Haiti including the capital, Port au Prince, the neighboring country and Cuba's eastern region, where Melissa is projected to bring analogous consequences by the midweek period.
Mudslides already being caused by the hurricane have resulted in two fatalities in Haiti, according to emergency services.
Expected Trajectory
The hurricane is predicted to cross Cuba by Wednesday before passing across the Caribbean archipelago and emerging into the Atlantic Ocean.
By the moment it reaches the Caribbean nation, it is forecast to have diminished to a third-level hurricane.
Environmental Context
While it is difficult to associate particular meteorological occurrences to global warming, scientists say it is making climate patterns increasingly frequent and more severe.
Higher ocean heat generate greater water vapor in the atmosphere, helping fuel the development of hurricanes.
Prior to the beginning of this year's Caribbean cyclone season, climate agencies forecast higher-than-average occurrence, mentioning warmer seas and likely enhanced seasonal rains around West Africa - where Atlantic storms typically originate.